As Romney Airs New Defense Ad, A Prediction That He’ll Win

Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney gestures following the third and final presidential debate with US President Barack Obama at Lynn University in Boca Raton, Fla., on Oct. 22. (SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images)

Is the 2012 presidential campaign essentially over? One longtime Washington insider says Mitt Romney has it in the bag — but such predictions are not slowing the GOP campaign’s media buys.

The Lexington Institute’s Loren Thompson — a longtime Washington professor, analyst and consultant — points out today (Oct. 23) in a blog post that the results of last night’s final presidential debate is unlikely to have a big impact on the results come Election Day (Nov.6).

Why? Because the topic of the final debate, foreign policy, “is boring.” (So adamant was Thompson, who says he’ll vote for President Obama, on that observation, he put boring in italics.)

“That means Mitt Romney’s recent momentum in key battleground states such as Ohio and Florida will continue,” writes Thompson, “enabling him to pile up a majority of electoral-college votes by Election Day.”

Thompson is not alone in opining that Romney soon will become the 44th U.S. president. But his campaign is not taking any chances, quickly putting together a television ad with snippets from last night’s debate that hits Obama over possible military spending cuts.

The short ad begins with a question in large type: “Is America Stronger Under President Obama?”

Next is a clip from Romney criticizing the size of the U.S. Navy, saying it is too small. Romney is vowing, if elected, to buy more naval ships.

The ad then features another line in large type: “Mitt Romney: Strengthen Our Military.”

The spot then uses a clip of Romney from the debate saying this: “I will not cut our military budget by a trillion dollars, which is a combination of the budget cuts the president has.”

That is a continuation of a months-old GOP tactic of slamming Obama for a $487 billion cut to planned Pentagon spending he first proposed, and a possible $500 billion cut produced by White House-congressional negotiations in 2011 that could occur unless lawmakers pass a massive deficit-trimming bill this year.

For his part, Obama last night predicted that second batch of cuts won’t happen. He also made this point about U.S. military spending vis-a-vis the rest of the world:

“Keep in mind that our military spending has gone up every single year that I’ve been in office. We spend more on our military than the next 10 countries combined; China, Russia, France, the United Kingdom, you name it. The next 10.”

John T. Bennett

John T. Bennett

Bennett is the Editor of Defense News' CongressWatch channel. He has a Masters degree in Global Security Studies from Johns Hopkins University.
John T. Bennett